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Brian Durrant
Brian Durrant

A Cambridge economics graduate with nearly 25 years experience in the City, Brian Durrant is Editor of The Fleet Street Letter, established in 1938. He has worked in stockbroking, the foreign exchange markets and headed the research department at one of London's leading futures and options brokers.

 
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Labour Government Taxation Policy Is Proving Bad For Business - by Brian Durrant

After years of above-trend growth, the UK public finances are a mess and there’s a lack of experience to put it right...


What’s Now Changed in the Housing Market - by Brian Durrant

Stretched price to income ratios and a mortgage famine increase the downside pressure on house prices.


US - China: Approaching Economic Divorce? - by Brian Durrant

Has the trade imbalance reached its limit as China stops buying US treasuries?


How Food Shortages Provoke Economic Nationalism - by Brian Durrant

Tight food supplies threaten civil order but governmental responses have not helped


Global warming a New Religion - by Brian Durrant

The attitude of global warming evangelists is akin to a new religion.


UK Growth Engines Stalling - by Brian Durrant

When politicians start delivering assurances that "economic fundamentals are sound", it's time to be concerned. Back in 1997 when Asian economies were falling like ninepins, South Korean ministers and officials kept parroting the mantra "sound fundamentals, sound fundamentals" right up to the point that the country needed a financial lifeboat from the IMF.


Sterling Riding for a Fall - by Brian Durrant

In 1968 Andy Warhol famously said that "In the future everyone will be famous for 15 minutes." Recently, Richard Arens, a US trader, became the first person ever to pay $100 for a barrel of crude oil. For this achievement (on which he took a subsequent loss of $600) he received a certificate and of course, 15 minutes of fame. Meanwhile, this year is shaping up for more eye-catching price records. Someone might be the first to pay $1,000 for an ounce of gold. And it is not just commodities that are making the record books. The pound is registering all-time lows against the euro (although admittedly the price history here only goes back to 1999)...


What to Expect from UK Interest Rates in 2008 - by Brian Durrant

This dilemma is similar to that faced by the Bank of England in its current dealings with banks. In the early stages of the so called "credit crunch", the Bank of England took a detached view warning of the dangers of bailing out institutions that had taken reckless lending decisions for profit. The Bank argued that it was not its job to provide a safety net for imprudent behaviour...


US to Keep Oil Strong in 2008 - by Brian Durrant

This year has been an incredibly volatile year for oil prices. The low in 2007 was $49.90 per barrel and the high has been $99.29, a range of almost $50. So to try forecasting the average oil price next year has become an increasingly tall order....


The Dollar: Their Currency... Our Problem - by Brian Durrant

News that the dollar has recorded record lows against the euro on the foreign exchanges is taken by some as an ominous indication that the long period of US economic supremacy is at an end. In other words, we are experiencing a seismic shift in the global economic balance of power towards Europe. Is this really the case? The causes of dollar weakness are varied but the consequences are far more important to us...



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